By Richards J. Heuer

The Psychology of Intelligence research has been required studying for intelligence officials learning the paintings and technological know-how of intelligence research for many years. Richards Heuer, Jr. discusses within the ebook how primary boundaries in human psychological approaches can steered humans to leap to conclusions and hire different simplifying suggestions that bring about predictably defective judgments often called cognitive biases. those analytic mindsets can't be refrained from, yet they are often conquer during the software of extra based and rigorous analytic options together with the research of Competing Hypotheses.

Show description

Read Online or Download Psychology of Intelligence Analysis PDF

Best intelligence & espionage books

Courting Disaster: How the CIA Kept America Safe and How Barack Obama Is Inviting the Next Attack

White condominium speechwriter Marc Thiessen was once locked in a safe room and given entry to the main delicate intelligence while he used to be tasked to write down President George W. Bush’s 2006 speech explaining the CIA’s interrogation application and why Congress may still authorize it. Few understand extra approximately those CIA operations than Thiessen, and in his new publication, relationship catastrophe, he records simply how potent the CIA’s interrogations have been in foiling assaults on the USA, penetrating al-Qaeda’s excessive command, and delivering our army with actionable intelligence.

The Only Thing Worth Dying For: How Eleven Green Berets Forged a New Afghanistan

On a moonless evening simply weeks after September eleven, 2001, U. S. exact Forces crew ODA 574 infiltrates the mountains of southern Afghanistan with a doubtless most unlikely challenge: to foment a tribal insurrection and strength the Taliban to give up. Armed completely with the apparatus they could stick with it their backs, shockingly scant intelligence, and their mastery of guerrilla war, Captain Jason Amerine and his males don't have any selection yet to belief their merely best friend, a little-known Pashtun statesman named Hamid Karzai who has again from exile and is being hunted via the Taliban as he travels the nation-state elevating a armed forces.

Operation Snow: How a Soviet Mole in FDR's White House Triggered Pearl Harbor

Lately declassified facts and never-before-translated files inform the genuine tale of the day that FDR memorably declared could dwell in infamy, exploring how Joseph Stalin and the KGB used an unlimited community of double brokers and communist sympathizers—most particularly Harry Dexter White—to lead Japan into conflict opposed to the USA, featuring Soviet involvement in the back of the bombing of Pearl Harbor.

Intelligence and Intelligence Analysis

This e-book tracks publish September 11 advancements in nationwide protection and policing intelligence and their relevance to new rising parts of intelligence perform comparable to: corrections, biosecurity, inner most and regulatory environments. advancements are explored thematically throughout 3 extensive sections: making use of intelligence realizing buildings constructing a self-discipline.

Extra info for Psychology of Intelligence Analysis

Sample text

Norman in their text on Human Information Processing (New York: Academic Press, 1977). This entire chapter draws heavily from Chapters 8 through 11 of the Lindsay and Norman book. 30George Johnson, In the Palaces of Memory: How We Build the Worlds Inside Our Heads. Vintage Books, 1992, p. xi. 31A. D. deGroot, Thought and Choice in Chess (The Hague: Mouton, 1965) cited by Herbert A. " Science, Vol. 183 (1974), p. 487. 32This discussion draws on Francis S. Bellezza, "Mnemonic Devices: Classification, Characteristics, and Criteria" (Athens, Ohio: Ohio University, pre-publication manuscript, January 1980).

However useful the research has been for other purposes, analysts' needs are best served by a very simple image of the structure of memory. Imagine memory as a massive, multidimensional spider web. This image captures what is, for the purposes of this book, perhaps the most important property of information stored in memory--its interconnectedness. One thought leads to another. It is possible to start at any one point in memory and follow a perhaps labyrinthine path to reach any other point. Information is retrieved by tracing through the network of interconnections to the place where it is stored.

After thinking our way back into the appropriate context and finding the general location in our memory, the interconnections become more readily available. We begin to remember names, places, and events that had seemed to be forgotten. Once people have started thinking about a problem one way, the same mental circuits or pathways get activated and strengthened each time they think about it. This facilitates the retrieval of information. These same pathways, however, also become the mental ruts that make it difficult to reorganize the information mentally so as to see it from a different perspective.

Download PDF sample

Rated 4.90 of 5 – based on 9 votes