By Charlie F. Wright
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SUBJECTIVE LINEAR MODEL (TECHNICAL TRADER) A Subjective Linear Model is a much more complex decision making process. It starts with interviewing experts in a field and learning how they make decisions. The researcher literally asks the expert how he or she makes decisions and they respond by explaining how they make their predictions. Although these experts are not using quantifiable data, they have enough experience and knowledge in their field to be successful. This decision making process is then outlined by the researcher.
If you had traded our moving average crossover trend-following strategy on CAT during this time, you would have lost a significant amount of money thinking that CAT would trend with the overall market. An S/R strategy is designed to buy low and sell high, which is an easy method psychologically to trade because it makes logical sense. However, these strategies can lose money in the long run. Generally, most successful strategy traders don’t trade this type of strategy. If S/R strategies are used at all, it is to complement a group of strategies that includes trending strategies and perhaps a volatility strategy or two.
There is more price detail in the daily chart, but also more price noise. Let’s check out a simple strategy on both the daily and weekly charts. Chapter 3: Markets, Strategies & Time Frames 57 Chart 11 is a daily IBM with a 50-period channel. The 50-period channel marks the highest high of the last 50 bars and the lowest low of the last 50 bars. The strategy would go long if the close of the bar closed above the channel and sell short if the price closed below the lowest low of the last 50 bars.