By Roger Liddle
This is a serious time for the connection among Britain and Europe, as politicians debate the concern dealing with the ecu Union and Britain’s position inside of it. This moment variation is composed principally of recent fabric that charts how contemporary political advancements have replaced the controversy surrounding Britain’s club of the european. Following the 2015 normal election and with the promise of an coming near near referendum on Brexit, the e-book now considers:
-How has the renegotiation schedule shifted?
-How are european companions responding to threats of departure from Britain?
-What was once the impression of the 2015 basic election?
-What are the politics of a referendum on club in 2017?
- How can a pro-European case be made?
By looking solutions to those questions, Roger Liddle assesses the impression of a sequence of miscalculated gambles through David Cameron and his forebears that leaves Britain teetering at the fringe of an go out from the ecu Union.
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Extra resources for The Risk of Brexit: The Politics of a Referendum
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Of course, a political case can be mounted in Cameron’s defence. He had little alternative to be tough on immigration and the budget in the autumn of 2014 if the two high-profile Tory defections to Ukip were not to be followed by a steady stream of others, fatally undermining Conservative chances in the general election. indb 26 11/5/2015 2:33:02 PM THE SHIFTING RENEGOTIATION AGENDA 27 about Europe”. Even when left with little alternative, as he saw it, to making his referendum pledge, he tried to make the best of it, claiming it would enable the government to get on the front foot on Europe, as he put it at Bloomberg: “confronting this issue – shaping it, leading the debate”.
Ukip’s momentum was certainly checked by the general election; a large uncertainty hangs over whether its momentum has gone into permanent reverse. Much will depend on whether Labour’s choice of Jeremy Corbyn as leader alienates the party further from what is left of its core working-class support; and whether a Conservative party split over Europe presents Ukip with a new opening. The surprise of the election was how well the Conservative party stayed united. Conservative Eurosceptics buried their doubts about Cameron’s European policy, at least for the duration of the campaign and during the immediate run up to it.
To remain part of the euro, other priorities are more pressing. As they lament the lack of European solidarity among euro members in supporting growth and jobs in their countries, the British have hardly been more communautaire in the positions they have struck. Two examples in June 2015 struck home. First, Britain decided not to participate in the scheme for sharing the asylum burden across the whole EU, when Mediterranean frontline states like Italy and Greece are facing a huge humanitarian crisis.