By Kevin E Wirth; National Defense Intelligence College (U.S.)

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Convoys in Iraq often carry signs and use loudspeakers broadcasting in Arabic warning other motorists not to approach the vehicles). These precautions have created a social barrier at exactly the time the Americans are trying to win over the Iraqis. In effect, suicide bombing has been a countermove to our counterinsurgency doctrine. And suicide bombing has been effective. S. casualties in Iraq have been the result of suicide bombings. And, obviously, the September 11 terrorist attacks were suicide attacks.

This is, in effect, the pragmatic, ad hoc alternative to the rigidly defined nation-state—and the mid-twentiethcentury notion of the United Nations as a precursor to world government. All governments are tending to give up authority for efficiency and effectiveness, but just enough and no more. The breakup of the colonial empires and the Soviet bloc demonstrated how hard it is to hold together very big political units. Meanwhile, the 36 ϳ CHAPTER ONE rejection by French voters of the European Union’s proposed constitution in May 2005 demonstrated how hard it is today to merge smaller units together.

And that is where development and demography enter the picture. For instance, most European leaders support reducing the GHG emissions that each EU member country produces. Global warming is a huge issue throughout the European Union, and the EU was the strongest proponent of the 1997 Kyoto Protocol to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, which would require industrial states to reduce GHG emissions, in 42 ϳ CHAPTER ONE aggregate, 5 percent below 1990 levels. 28 To understand how governments have responded, it helps to keep some basic trends and facts in mind.

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