By Martin C. Libicki

Governments spend billions to guard opposed to terrorism. could it support to appreciate what al Qaeda could in achieving with each one particular assault? This booklet examines numerous hypotheses of terrorist focusing on: is it (1) to coerce, (2) to break economies, (3) to rally the devoted, or (4) a call left to associates? This e-book analyzes previous assaults, put up hoc justifications, and specialist opinion to weigh every one speculation.

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S. intelligence officials initially suspected Iranian extremists only to learn later that Osama bin Laden was called by Ayman al-Zawahiri and congratulated immediately afterward (Wright, 2002). S. S. citizens—and wounded more than 5,000. S. embassy. The blast collapsed a neighboring office building onto the embassy, causing considerable damage to the chancery. S. embassy. Although bin Laden refused to take direct responsibility for the attack (despite being implicated by convictions of many of the attackers), he did express approval of the strikes and affirmed that he shared the motivations of the individuals who had carried them out.

8 Eggen (2004). S. intelligence officials initially suspected Iranian extremists only to learn later that Osama bin Laden was called by Ayman al-Zawahiri and congratulated immediately afterward (Wright, 2002). S. S. citizens—and wounded more than 5,000. S. embassy. The blast collapsed a neighboring office building onto the embassy, causing considerable damage to the chancery. S. embassy. Although bin Laden refused to take direct responsibility for the attack (despite being implicated by convictions of many of the attackers), he did express approval of the strikes and affirmed that he shared the motivations of the individuals who had carried them out.

Ohio)? CHAPTER THREE Hypothesis Testing: Quantitative and Qualitative Measures The hypotheses established in Chapter Two define four possible relationships between al Qaeda’s goals and the criteria by which it evaluates alternative targets and attack modalities. This chapter is dedicated to testing the explanatory power of each of these hypotheses. It begins by identifying and defining quantitatively and qualitatively the effects a terrorist attack are intended to produce. These measures are structured into a model that describes the relevance of each attribute to, respectively, the rally, coercion, damage, and franchise hypotheses.

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