By Walter L. Perry, John Gordon

Operations in Iraq and Afghanistan have proven that U.S. forces want more-effective concepts and systems to behavior counterinsurgency. they'll probably face related, abnormal battle strategies from destiny enemies. This monograph examines the character of the modern rebel probability and offers insights on utilizing operational research suggestions to help intelligence operations in counterinsurgencies.

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Extra info for Analytic Support to Intelligence in Counterinsurgencies

Sample text

Whereas, in some respects, insurgencies have become slicker, quicker, and enabled by modern information technology, many of the principles of counterinsurgency operations remain fundamentally the same. This reality should strongly influence how today’s Western militaries prepare themselves for the challenge. In all of this, we see the need for sound analysis to determine what capabilities and what mixture of new and old techniques are most appropriate for a particular insurgency. Most insurgencies evolve over time.

Materiel events are subdivided by the type of materiel found: ordnance, electronic components, chemicals, or a combination of the above. Financing and logistics Gathering recruiting materials Attack event: Includes selecting the target and conducting the attack. , casualties, damage, collateral damage, vehicle damage. Transport event: Includes the transportation of weapons. Assembly Transport Attack Post–attack Planning Planning event: Includes planning, meeting, command and control, monitoring, surveillance and/or information operations related to carrying out insurgent attacks.

Reiterate until the misclassification level is acceptable. One of the features of this approach is that it allows the friendly commander to adapt to changing enemy tactics. The calculation of the weights can be an ongoing process that takes advantage of the most- 4 For an explanation of how this is done, see Thomas Sullivan and Walter L. Perry, “Identifying Indicators of Chemical, Biological, Radiological and Nuclear (CBRN) Weapons Development Activity in Sub-National Terrorist Groups,” Journal of the Operational Research Society, Vol.

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